Self-driving cars promised a future where you sit back, relax, and glide past the gridlock while the car handles everything. A new study from the University of Texas at Arlington has some bad news for that fantasy. According to research, widespread adoption of autonomous vehicles could actually make traffic significantly worse.
Professors Stephen Mattingly and Farah Naz conducted a meta-analysis on how self-driving cars could affect vehicle miles traveled (VMT). Their findings showed an average 5.95% increase in vehicle miles traveled. Non-shared autonomous vehicles pushed that figure even higher, to nearly 7%.
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To put it succinctly, the research shows that robotaxis are already causing an increase in vehicle miles traveled, and once their adoption becomes universal, it will put extreme pressure on existing infrastructure.But thats in the future; if current news reports are anything to go by, the robotaxis are already causing havoc on roads.
For example, Waymo launched in Nashville on April 7, 2026, and within five days, people were posting viral videos of its robotaxis freezing at intersections and driving into restricted zones. In December 2025, a San Francisco power outage left dozens of Waymo vehicles frozen at intersections city-wide.
Its not only a US-specific issue. Just a few weeks back, dozens of Baidu Apollo Go robotaxis simultaneously stopped on elevated highways in Wuhan, China, stranding passengers mid-traffic for over an hour.
NEW: Dozens of robotaxis by Baidu stopped on the road in Wuhan, causing crashes on highways and trapping passengers in the carssome for more than an hour. One passenger told me it took her 30 minutes to even connect to a customer representative.
Heres a video of a crash. pic.twitter.com/fTitNMv8kj
Zeyi Yang (@ZeyiYang) April 1, 2026 These are just a few examples. Dozens of similar incidents have occurred over the past few months, where robotaxis have gotten stuck for various reasons and caused traffic jams.
This is happening while robotaxis are still largely in trial mode. Multiply this by a factor of a hundred or even a thousand, and its easy to imagine how much worse traffic could become in the future.
Dr. Naz summed it up well: AVs are not inherently good or bad. Their impacts will depend heavily on how they are deployed and governed. Without smart policy ahead of mass adoption, the self-driving dream risks handing us a shinier, more expensive traffic jam.
If we are to pay that price, autonomous vehicles must clearly demonstrate that they are safer and more reliable than human drivers, which they have failed to do till now.